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Daily Nuggets: Gold Climbs on Virus-Driven Interest Rate Cut Bets

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Gold rose nearly 1% on Monday after suffering its largest daily fall in nearly seven years, as expectations grew for policy easing by the U.S. Federal Reserve and other central banks to help boost the coronavirus-hit global economy.

Spot gold was up 0.4% at $1,591.84 an ounce by 1:40 p.m. EST, and U.S. gold futures settled 1.8% higher at $1,594.80.

On Friday, the precious metals market was routed by traders liquidating their positions amidst a coronavirus-led sell-off across global markets, with gold diving as much as 4.5%.

“We are seeing a little bit of recovery from late last week, (when) there was lot of selling to generate liquidity and cover margins,” said Ryan McKay, a commodity strategist at TD Securities.

“There are lot of expectations on interest rate cuts from the Fed, and also cuts from other global central banks … offering very good support.”

The U.S. central bank will “act as appropriate” to support the economy on the backdrop of the virus outbreak, Chair Jerome Powell said on Friday.

Futures now imply a full 50 basis-point rate cut at the Fed’s March 18 monetary policy meeting.

Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion and also weigh on U.S. yields and the dollar.

The world economy is set to grow only 2.4% this year, the lowest rate since 2009, the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development stated on Monday.

Stephen Innes, chief market strategist at financial services firm AxiCorp, said the negative correlation between the U.S. currency and gold has reappeared since the dollar’s safe-haven appeal has faded.

The dollar index slid on bets that the Fed is likely to ease policy, while implied yields on the U.S. 10-year Treasury futures traded below 1% for the first time.

Palladium slipped 2.9% to $2,519.39 an ounce, having plunged as much as 13% on Friday, the most since the 2008 financial crisis.

Platinum dipped 0.6% to $858.42, while silver rose 0.3% to $16.72, after both fell to their lowest levels in about six months in the previous session.

Platinum is on track to end lower for an eighth straight session.

“Car sales growth is an important driver for the platinum price, particularly sales in Europe,” said UBS commodities analyst Giovanni Staunovo.

“The falling share of newly sold diesel cars (which use platinum in their catalytic converters) in Europe is another drag on the white metal.”

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