Archive Category: Andrew Zatlin's Superforecast Trader (Alerts)

Welcome to your Thursday edition of Superforecast Trader. Jobless claim figures were released this morning, and there was a big surprise. Claims for the week following Easter jumped 18,000 over the previous week to 241,000 — the highest level since February.

We’ve got a “double witching” week for labor market data, with jobless claims coming up on Thursday and payrolls coming up on Friday. These two data points are going to be critical for shaping the perception of the overall economy — and in turn, determining the likelihood of rate cutes from the Federal Reserve in June or July. But once again, experts are missing the mark with their projections. Watch my video below for the full story, then scroll down for the details of today’s trade:

Welcome to your Thursday edition of Andrew Zatlin’s Superforecast Trader! It’s Matt here, and I’m taking over with Andrew on a well-deserved vacation. Jobless claim numbers came in this morning, and Andrew hit the nail on the head.

Welcome to your Tuesday edition of Superforecast Trader! I’m Matt Clark. And with Andrew taking some well-deserved time off, I will be in the driver’s seat this week. Even though he’s halfway around the world in Japan, Andrew still took some time out to review last week’s jobless claim data, finding that last week’s reading of 223,000 jobless claims was spurred by the Spring Break holiday.

Welcome to the Thursday wrap-up edition of Superforecast Trader! Initial jobless claim numbers were released this morning by the Labor Department. Just as I suggested on Tuesday, those claims were relatively muted compared to the previous week’s figures: