Don’t Run! Cautious Optimism Helps Us Fight the Bear
We’re still in a bear market after recent rallies petered out. The S&P 500 is back to 20% off its January highs. The most optimistic of bullish investors are already calling the bear market over. They expect new highs by early next year, if not sooner. But the base-case scenario I’ve been planning for is a “longer and lower” march down. I’m not a pessimist. I consider myself a cautious optimist … but numbers don’t lie. A majority of the price trends across global markets are pointing down.
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