Archive Category: Andrew Zatlin's Superforecast Trader (Alerts)

It’s nearly September, and Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell is telling the markets to expect a rate cut. At the same time, the job market at least appears to be ramping up — with hiring on the rise on jobless claims coming in relatively soft in recent weeks.

Welcome to your Thursday edition of Superforecast Trader! The weekly jobless claim figures came in for last week, and the number was right about where I thought it would be.

I’m tracking a new Super Divergence in the latest job numbers, and that means we’ve got a trade alert for this week (more details from Matt Clark below). But I’m also tracking a potentially massive surprise for investors hiding in that same data…

We’re back for our Thursday edition of Superforecast Trader! Before I turn things over to Matt to go over market performance, I wanted to briefly discuss today’s weekly jobless claims numbers. As you know, I went against the grain this week as my data suggested jobless claims would actually reverse course from the last few weeks and be lower. Although the consensus only suggested a slight drop, I believed the actual jobless claims would be significantly lower than the previous week.

Welcome back to Superforecast Trader! The market’s given us a major trading opportunity this week, and Matt Clark has got all the details on our recommendation below. But first, I wanted to share some insights on the long-term trends that are beginning to play out as Elon Musk’s DOGE cuts finally make their way through the system and into the data.