Larry Fink: ‘We Have a Risk of a Melt-Up, Not a Meltdown’
Blackrock CEO Larry Fink, the largest asset manager in the world, said the rally in global equities might have even further to go in a melt-up to a potential meltdown on Wall Street as the aging bull record could finally be nearing its end.
“We have a risk of a melt-up, not a meltdown here. Despite where the markets are in equities, we have not seen money being put to work,” Fink said on CNBC’s “Squawk Box.” “We have record amounts of money in cash. We still see outflows in retail in equities and in institutions.”
A market “melt-up” is a big move that comes when investors are trying to get in on a momentum shift and is generally considered a sign of a late-stage bull market.
The iShares MSCI ACWI exchange-traded fund, which tracks global stocks, is up more than 15% this year. In the U.S., the S&P 500 has rallied nearly 16% through Monday’s close and is within 1.5% of an all-time high set in late September.
Stocks benefited this year from apparent progress in U.S.-China trade talks and a recalibration of global monetary-policy expectations.
The Federal Reserve slashed down its rate projections to reflect no hikes in 2019. The U.S. central bank also indicated it will end its balance-sheet reduction process earlier than expected. Meanwhile, the European Central Bank pushed back plans for future rate hikes. It also announced last month it will issue cheap loans to banks in the region.
“Many people thought we were going to be in a period of rising rates. We were not and we saw huge underinvestment and people had to rush into fixed income,” Fink said. “We have not seen that in equities yet.”
Fink added that, with central banks being “more dovish than ever … there is a shortage of good assets” for investors, which could ignite the melt-up in the global equity market.
Fink’s comments follow the release of better-than-expected earnings from BlackRock. However, the company’s overall revenue missed expectations as it fell 7% on a year-over-year basis. Shares fell about 0.6 percent in premarket trading.