Archive Category: Andrew Zatlin's Superforecast Trader Archive

Hello, and welcome back to Superforecast Trader! As I explained in last week’s update, we’ve been seeing lower jobless claims from week-to-week — and I’m expecting that trend to stick. Despite volatility in the markets and uncertainty in the headlines, the actual hard data coming out of the economy is strong. It’s pointing towards increased demand for workers, which will in turn keep jobless claims down and investors happy.

Right now, Donald Trump’s policies are having a material impact on the US economy — and you can see the proof in the latest round of economic data… Namely, the fact that jobless claims are coming in much lower than consensus expected. And it’s going to stay that way through the next two months.

Hello, and welcome back to Superforecast Trader! The job market is not pointing to a Super Divergence trading opportunity for this week, and Matt Clark is out, so I thought I’d take a moment to dive a little deeper into the new trend we’re starting to see in jobless claims… Namely; jobless claims are down. 3 weeks in a row, as a matter of fact. And that’s got some folks feeling bullish.

Andrew’s out this week, but before he stepped away, he ran his proprietary hiring data to look for a potential Super Divergence. Nothing. Not a weak signal. Not a “maybe if you squint.” Just a clean, quiet blank.

Hello, and welcome back to Superforecast Trader! Back in March of this year, I predicted that we’d see a gradual decline in week-to-week jobless claims. I even put a specific number on it, forecasting weekly claims to drop below 200,000 by July. And that’s exactly what happened last week.