Archive Category: Andrew Zatlin's Superforecast Trader Archive

Hello, and welcome back to Superforecast Trader! Folks, we are no strangers to going against the tide of public opinion… All throughout 2026, I’ve been sharing my bullish insights and specific data demonstrating that the U.S. economy isn’t dormant or declining — it’s on the rise.

It’s market wrap time here at Superforecast Trader! Weekly jobless claim figures were released this morning, and they pointed to good news for the U.S. job market… Initial claims were relatively unchanged at 213,000, up from 212,000 the week before.

Hello and welcome back to Superforecast Trader! Jobless claims are still reeling, showing the last signs of distortion from our recent winter storm — which kept Americans bundled up at home instead of heading out to claim unemployment. But while this small seasonal distortion finally winds down, we’re also seeing the formation of a “new normal” that could see regular jobless claims clocking in at just 200,000 per week instead of the current run rate of 220,000.

We’re one step closer to finding out if the U.S. labor market is stabilizing, or whether the numbers we’ve been seeing are just temporary… In today’s weekly jobless claims report, applications for unemployment benefits only increased by 4,000 to 212,000 for the week ending February 21.

Hello and welcome back to Superforecast Trader! These past few weeks have been an absolute rollercoaster for anyone tracking jobless claims data… First, we had several consecutive weeks of sustained high jobless claims. The data pointed to some 45,000 more Americans out of work than expected over the course of just three weeks.