Archive Category: Andrew Zatlin's Superforecast Trader Archive

Stocks Topsy-Turvy Ahead of the Holidays

Welcome to your Thursday edition of Superforecast Trader! The longest government shutdown in recent history has come to an end, but data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics is still slow to emerge. However, this morning, the government data agency released data showing that non-farm payrolls increased by 119,000 in September, while the unemployment rate ticked up to 4.4%.

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BLS Back Online… Here’s What Comes Next…

The government is officially out of shutdown. And this Thursday, we’ll start receiving weekly jobless claims reports for the first time since September. What are we going to see? Well, I think the reality of this week’s jobless claims report could surprise quite a few investors. Check out this week’s video for the full story.

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After the Shutdown: Get Ready for Trades!

Welcome to your Thursday market wrap at Superforecast Trader! The record government shutdown is officially over after 43 days, with the U.S. House passing interim funding through January 30, 2026. It will take time for the federal government to get back on its feet after being closed since October 1. But we can expect to see weekly jobless claims data back as early as next week.

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Shutdown OVER! Back to Trading Next Week…

It’s official — a deal has been struck in Washington D.C. and after more than 42 days, the longest shutdown in modern political history has come to a close. This is a major victory for thousands of furloughed government workers, and for the tens of millions of Americans who rely on government employees for everything from food assistance to safe and expedient travel.

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“Phantom Layoffs” Surging During Government Shutdown

Welcome to your Thursday edition of Superforecast Trader! As the government shutdown persists, access to government unemployment data remains nonexistent. That said, there are other datapoints released by private entities that still provide us with some insight into the U.S. jobs market.

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