Archive Category: Andrew Zatlin's Superforecast Trader Archive

In just a few hours, polling places across America will close — concluding one of the most hotly-contested midterm elections in modern history… So what comes next? What happens after the votes are tallied and a new batch of officials are sworn into office?

Earlier this year, I predicted jobless claims would settle into a “new normal” around the rate of 200,000 new claims per week. Fast-forward to today, and that’s precisely what we’ve seen over the past few months. So with the latest batch of claims coming in at their lowest since July, I wanted to update you on the overall trendline and where we’re headed into 2027. Click below to watch the video, then scroll down for Matt Clark’s analysis of today’s market:

This week, we’re dealing with some very real drama in the jobs market… If you’ve been paying close attention, you may have seen last week’s jobless claims come in just shy of 200,000. That’s pretty encouraging — but it also came with allegations of fraud, including one state that might be reporting artificially high numbers ahead of a contentious midterm election.

What do you do after you fire everyone? That’s not a trick question. And the answer is not “play nine holes of golf,” despite what the private equity guys might tell you. The American jobs market has been struggling to answer this question all year.

I get it. On the one hand, you’ve got a jobs market that’s as strong as ever. The economy’s running on all cylinders, and all the latest economic news is great across the board. But then here I am telling you that in just a few months’ time, the US Federal Reserve is going to be forced to cut rates.