Archive Category: Andrew Zatlin's Superforecast Trader Archive

We nailed it again. March payroll numbers dropped late last week, coming in far stronger than most everyone was expecting. Everyone except us, of course. This week, we’ve got some ongoing volatility in the markets (more on that below from Matt Clark), but we’re also seeing the long-term picture firm up in some very encouraging ways.

Hello and welcome to your weekly Superforecast Trader wrap-up! Let’s start by diving into jobless numbers released by the Labor Department this morning.

Hello, and welcome back to Superforecast Trader! Folks, we are no strangers to going against the tide of public opinion… All throughout 2026, I’ve been sharing my bullish insights and specific data demonstrating that the U.S. economy isn’t dormant or declining — it’s on the rise.

It’s market wrap time here at Superforecast Trader! Weekly jobless claim figures were released this morning, and they pointed to good news for the U.S. job market… Initial claims were relatively unchanged at 213,000, up from 212,000 the week before.

Hello and welcome back to Superforecast Trader! Jobless claims are still reeling, showing the last signs of distortion from our recent winter storm — which kept Americans bundled up at home instead of heading out to claim unemployment. But while this small seasonal distortion finally winds down, we’re also seeing the formation of a “new normal” that could see regular jobless claims clocking in at just 200,000 per week instead of the current run rate of 220,000.