Archive Category: Andrew Zatlin's Superforecast Trader Archive

Jobless claims have been all over the place these past few weeks — but there’s a pretty clear method to the overall madness… It’s all about those seasonal adjustments made at the topline of each week’s claims report. Those adjustments are based on past performance, but they don’t always represent today’s seasonal realities. Let’s dive into the details this week, and I’ll show you why the latest claims data will continue signaling a strong economy.

Welcome to your Superforecast Trader Thursday market wrap! Before I turn things over to Matt to look at market activity, the latest weekly jobless claims figures are out, and there was a slight jump in applications for the week ending April 4.

We nailed it again. March payroll numbers dropped late last week, coming in far stronger than most everyone was expecting. Everyone except us, of course. This week, we’ve got some ongoing volatility in the markets (more on that below from Matt Clark), but we’re also seeing the long-term picture firm up in some very encouraging ways.

Hello and welcome to your weekly Superforecast Trader wrap-up! Let’s start by diving into jobless numbers released by the Labor Department this morning.

Hello, and welcome back to Superforecast Trader! Folks, we are no strangers to going against the tide of public opinion… All throughout 2026, I’ve been sharing my bullish insights and specific data demonstrating that the U.S. economy isn’t dormant or declining — it’s on the rise.