Archive Category: Andrew Zatlin's Superforecast Trader Archive

I’m going to get right to it today. The numbers are in, and they are surprising… Jobless claims from last week came in at 207,000. This was below both my estimate and consensus.

Hello and welcome to Superforecast Trader! We’re already beginning to see the impact of Trump’s transformative policies on jobless claims and payroll numbers … and it’s influencing our strategy for this week:

Welcome to your weekly Superforecast Trader update … And what a week it’s been! We’ve seen a new administration sworn into the White House and the promised flurry of executive orders that followed. We’ve also seen snow fell over the southern United States, including the panhandle of Florida and New Orleans.

Earlier today, we closed out the first half of our first-ever Super Divergence Trade for a 102.4% gain in just half a day! I want to congratulate everyone who had the opportunity to follow our recommendation into the January 17, $583-strike call options on the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (NYSE: SPY) and grab a quick trading victory to kick off the new year. (For the full details on the trade, you can read this morning’s alert HERE.)

The market is closed today, but I still wanted to get a note out to you. Let’s jump right into what the jobless claim numbers told us this week … which delivered a bit of a surprise… The consensus was at around 215,000 — which was right around my number — but the actual print came to 201,000.