Archive Category: Andrew Zatlin's Superforecast Trader Archive

Fed Holds Steady as Markets Pull Back

Welcome to the Thursday wrap-up of Superforecast Trader! Just a day after the Federal Reserve decided to hold rates steady, citing a stabilizing labor market and inflation expectations that remain in check, weekly jobless claims data appear to back up that assessment.

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Jobless Claims to Surge in Storm’s Aftermath

Hello, and welcome back to your Tuesday edition of Superforecast Trader! I hope you’ve been keeping warm despite the frigid weather that’s scoured most of the country over the past week. More than just a minor inconvenience, this winter storm is actually the topic of today’s video update — and the reason why I’m expecting to see a slight uptick in jobless claims this week.

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How We Keep Our Edge in Challenging Markets

It started out as a quiet, three-day holiday weekend in remembrance of Dr. Martin Luther King Jr. … Then it quickly evolved into a flurry of presidential announcements, escalating domestic tension, and even more stunning headlines from abroad. So far, 2026 is shaping up to be an even more intense version of the market we came to know last year.

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2026 Shuffling Off to an Uncertain Start

Welcome back to your Thursday edition of Superforecast Trader! First, we’ll review this week’s jobless claims figures, and then my chief research analyst, Matt Clark, will join us to discuss market performance. After dropping to its second-lowest level in the last 12 months, U.S. weekly jobless claims ticked back up for the week ending January 2, 2026.

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