When the next decline begins, fear will increase sharply, and the number of zigzags will increase. There are likely to be at least a dozen more zigzags before this bear market ends.
Since investors will be conservative as they recover from the shock of the pandemic, they should favor large cap stocks and safe dividends.
This time might be different, but it probably isn’t. The news is still bad, and the truth is we don’t even know how this crisis will end.
History says the time to buy is when the S&P 500 Index closes above its 200-day MA. That simple rules-based strategy can help investors, but few will use it.
More than 3.3 million Americans filed claims for unemployment insurance and stock market investors lost trillions of dollars. Meanwhile, policymakers were looking for a formula that would have identified the problem in advance.
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